Thursday, May 04, 2006
Jane Bond, the novelette
Plame had remarked approvingly, since just "by chance" she was a collector of dolls from around the world. The women had hit it off instantaneously. And thus there were occasions for endless conversations over lunch that would send the Iranian minders into tears of boredom-- and carelessness-- not to mention shopping trips to meet with other contacts and the opportunity to pass technical information out or requests/directives in to agents concealed inside of dolls. Azarchehr and Plame never discussed intelligence issues. Azarchehr was the gatekeeper, the cutout, the person who
This was easy to accomplish because the pace of business in Teheran was so much slower than in New York. Appointments had to be arranged and re-scheduled after long waits and many cups of tea. Officials had to be consulted before the smallest decisions could be made. Many of her best contacts happened in the waiting rooms of government agencies, as a technician was sent out to do hospitality for "the American."
Technicians because Plame visited scientific and engineering agencies. The hangups that bedeviled Iran's trade with the west always seemed to involve the precise technical specifications and how to get around the export restrictions. Is atropine a vital medicine or an agent for nerve gas? Is a high speed motor useful for making machine tools, or could it be adapted to make centrifuges?
One of her best contacts was Hamraz, a technician so junior that none of the men deigned to recognize her presence. And for this reason, Hamraz heard many things that she wouldn't have in an organization that respected women. She wasn't on Plame's payroll. But she quietly resented her treatment, and when "the American" visited, she was happy to entertain her.
Through seemingly innocuous details provided by her, and people like her, Plame quietly compiled a picture of Iran's nuclear industry. The town of Estefan was growing so rapidly, Hamraz said. Why, her cousin-- who did construction-- had just built a new government apartment complex to house the people moving there. Very nice apartments, like a self-contained village, with its own shops and cable connections in every room. Six floors tall, ten apartments on a floor.
While gleaning helped confirm or flesh out many details, Plame could not spend enough time at it to do the job that needed to be done. The key information came from deep agents, people like Azarchehr who had grievances with th government. Because of the tight control of information, they couldn't tell her much, and never directly. It all came in the form of tightly-focused tips. Approval to deal with a Russian electronics firm had been granted. The promotion of a scientist, whose phone could be listened to by the NSA and the intercepts translated on priority.
Grind, grind, grind, extracting precious bits of information from mountains of refuse. But it had to be done. When Iran got the bomb, the existing order in the Middle East would be destabilized. It was going to happen. The US had set the process in motion under the Shah, providing a reactor and making sure that Iran got all the basic knowhow. In those days, Iran was our front line against the USSR, a major oil producer that wasn't Arab, an immensely sophisticated people that had survived as a distinct cultural entity longer than all but a few nations.
So, it was going to happen. The American government needed to delay it as long as possible. But when it happened, it had to know when, to arrange the subtle re-orderings of soft power that would keep the new nuclear power in check long enough that it could learn the wisdom of Kali.
______________________
Here's re-write:
A question seldom asked is how did Valerie take the news when she learned of Novak's column.
"She felt like she had been hit in the stomach," her husband Joe Wilson said on the October 30, 2005, 60 Minutes program. "It took her breath away," he said.
"She recovered quickly because," Wilson explained, "you don't do what she did for a living without understanding stress."
"Aref and Azarchehr had to be gotten out of Iran immediately on the Kurdish Underground Railroad," she thought. "Hamraz could be given up, to confuse the Iranian government. She didn't know anything, but it would take them time to figure that out. Majid was dead; no help for it. Who would he compromise? Would they suspect Farrokh? Or might he slip by?" Then her mind drifted to her fellow NOC, Jem. A Brewster employee, he was in China. He would need to be notified covertly, immediately, so he could roll up his network ahead of the Chinese government. And her Indonesians. Pakistanis. North Koreans.
"The next eighteen hours were critical," she thought to herself. "We can save most of them, keep some assets in place."
"That son of a b..."
She refused to let herself finish the thought. Anything that took away from the task at hand could cost a life. "Hon," she said as she dialed Langley, "can your mother come down and take care of the kids for the next few days?" This woman and her agents were betrayed by political clowns unworthy of licking their boots.
After I spent more time than I care to think about researching the piece and thinking through exactly how Plame must have gone about her job, and a day went by with no comments, I felt pretty discouraged. So your comments make me think this wasn't entirely in vain.
We all know in an abstract sense that "sources and methods" were revealed by Novak. We all know in the abstract that that's a bad thing. But in working through how Plame must have operated, I realized the full magnitude of the damage.
Plame had to have been exploiting the tendency of developing countries to hold women in little regard and to maintain a strict division between men's activities and women's-- even in this country, spying is thought of as a male pursuit.
Exploiting these conceptual blinders are how you win at the game of intelligence. The Germans thought their Enigma code was unbreakable and put blinders on themselves-- and we exploited that. The Hanssen spy case-- he was in the church of Louis Freeh's brother, meaning Freeh assumed Hanssen was a known entity. In case after case, successful espionage depends on using the weaknesses of the opponent to hide in plain sight.
Once their intelligence agencies recognize that ignoring female visitors is a dangerous vulnerability, they will patch it. It is going to be a h--l of a lot harder to get another agent in. I don't think the CIA as it is today can do it.
Heck, considering the bollocks they've made. I wouldn't be surprised if an Iranian agent isn't a station chief somewhere.
Steve-MD/DC (Eschaton lurker)
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