Wednesday, October 18, 2006


This Was A Pleasant Surprise

Francine Busby, in Duke Cunningham's old district -- where a ham sandwich could get elected if it had an "R" after its name -- is now within biting distance of Brian Bilbray, who won the seat in a special election after Cunningham found himself going to prison:

The poll of 581 likely voters, conducted by Survey USA for 10News, had Busby with 46 percent of the vote to Bilbray's 49 percent. One percent of respondents were undecided, and 5 percent supported a third-party candidate. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.1 percent. [Full survey results here.] A similar poll of 540 likely voters by Survey USA in September showed Busby with 40 percent of the vote to Bilbray's 54 percent. Five percent of respondents were undecided in that poll, which had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent.
Why the sudden shift? Mark Foley and PredatorGate, for one; Bilbray's own mounting scandals, for another.

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